Effects of Temperature Variability on Susceptible Vector-Cyc/op Populations Causing Guinea worm Disease in Niger state, Nigeria

The objective of this study is to determine temperature condition of the model parameters. A populations of the susceptible compartment of quantitative analysis using numeric.'^ experiments vector-cyclop causing guinea worm infection for with Maple software shows direr;: relationship two different temperature conditions; 27°C and 34° between the two temperature conch’ion- and the C; and model their behavior graphically for susceptible cyclop population. The sr^'.ly concludes possible implications of climate change on its that continued monitoring of temperature recurrence. Secondary sources provided the data extremes, adequate and timely control policies are used in this paper. Modified Susceptible Protected essential strategies for wiping out this preventable Infected Treated Recovered (SPITR)mathematical disease, model was used to analyse the data. Stability analysis revealed that the model is locally asymptotically stable under the first temperature matrix, guinea worm, next generation matrix condition, whereas R > 1 under the second