STATISTICAL ANALYSIS ON THE REPORTED CASES OF SOME COMMUNICABLE DISEASE IN NASARAWA LOCAL GOVERNMENT AREA FROM THE YEAR 2002-2017

Infectious disease is a major public health problem in sub –Sahara African countries. This project work examined the trend of tuberculosis, cholera, measles, hiv -aids and hepatitis diseases in Nasarawa local government area of Nasarawa State. Annual data from 2002 -2017 was collected from the LGA council records and the methods of analysis are poison regression and negative Binomial regression models. The results revealed non -significant annual increase of 0.4% and 0.2% in tuberculosis and cholera respectively. Furthermore, the results showed a significant annual decrease of 0.9%, 3.3% and 1.2% in measles, HIV-aids and hepatitis respectively. Lastly, the poison regression models failed the goodness of fit test while negative binomial regression models were used to take care of dispersion in mean problem. This project recommends that concerted effort should be made by government to reduce tuberculosis and cholera in Nasarawa LGA of The State.