On the Effects of COVID-19 outbreak on the Nigerian Stock Exchange performance: Evidence from GARCH Models

dc.contributor.authorAdenonmon, Monday Osagie
dc.contributor.authorMaijamaa, Bilkisu
dc.contributor.authorOwoicholofu, Daniel
dc.date.accessioned2023-12-14T08:15:04Z
dc.date.available2023-12-14T08:15:04Z
dc.date.issued2020-04-24
dc.description.abstractCOVID-19 was first identified in Wuhan, China in December 2019 and has caused huge death and has spread to almost all the parts of the world. There are speculation that most of the world economy and financial markets would be affected due to lockdown and social distancing. The first case of COVID-19 was first identified in Nigeria on 27th February 2020 and this study examines the effect of COVID-19 outbreak on the performance of the Nigeria stock exchange using historical data covering 2nd March 2015 to 16th April, 2020 sourced from a secondary source. This study considered the COVID-19 period from 2nd January 2020 to 16th April 2020, the results revealed a loss in stock returns and high volatility in stock returns under the COVID-19 period in Nigeria as against the normal period under study. In addition, Quadratic GARCH (QGARCH) and Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) models with dummy variable were applied to the stock returns shows that the COVID-19 has had negative effect on the stock returns in Nigeria. The study recommended that political and economic policy such as stable political environment, incentive to indigenous companies, diversification of the economy, flexible exchange rate regime be implemented so as to improve the financial market and to attract more and new investors to the Nigerian Stock Exchange.en_US
dc.identifier.citationAfrica union report (2020) Impact of the corona virus (covid-19) on the Africa economy Ajami, R. (2020). Globalization, the challenge of COVID-19 and Oil Price Unvcertainty. Journal of Asia-Pacific Business, doi:10.1080/10599231.2020.1745046. Akanni, L. O. and Gabriel, S. C. (2020). The implication of COVID-19 on the Nigerian Economy. http://cseaafrica.org/the-implication-of-covid19-on-th-nigerian-economy/ retrieved on 08-04-2020. Albulescu, C. (2020). Coronavirus and Oil Price Cash. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3553452. Alex A, Wesley C, Jesus GG, Sergio G, Clara G, Joan TM, David S, Benjamin S (2020). A mathematical model for the spatiotemporal epidemic spreading of COVID19. medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.21.20040022. Al-qaness, M. A. A., Ewees, A. A., Fan, H. and Aziz, M. A. E. (2020). Optimization Method for forecasting confirmed cases of COVID-19 in China. J. Clin. Med, 9,674. Doi:10.3390/jcm9030674en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://keffi.nsuk.edu.ng/handle/20.500.14448/6274
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherDepartment of Statistics, Nasarawa State University Keffi.en_US
dc.subjectNigerian Stock Exchange (NSE), COVID-19, QGARCH, EGARCH, Returnsen_US
dc.titleOn the Effects of COVID-19 outbreak on the Nigerian Stock Exchange performance: Evidence from GARCH Modelsen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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