Modelling the Effects of Three Natural Predators on the Aquactic and Adult Stages of Anopheles Mosquitoes in the Control of Malaria Transmission

Date

2023-01-16

Journal Title

Journal ISSN

Volume Title

Publisher

Department of Mathematics, Nasarawa State University Keffi

Abstract

Modelling the effects of three natural predators on the aquatic and adult anopheles’ mosquitoes in the control of malaria transmission was derived aimed’at "eradicating anopheles’ larva, pupa and adult anopheles' mosquito by introduction of natural predators ucopepods, tadpoles and purple martins” so that there should not be anopheles ’ adult mosquito for malaria transmission in our society. The new model is a control flow diagram of predator-prey interaction model in mosquito life-cycle. The population is sub-divided based on mosquito life- cycle and natural predators. Under a mosquito life-cycle, the population is divided into four compartments', * Egg compartment E(t), Larva compartment L(t), Pupa compartment P(t), and Adult compartment A(t), and natural predators, it is divided into three compartments’, namely; Copepods CP(t), Tadpoles TP(t) and Purple martins PM (t). From the stability analysis of steady state we observed that the model free equilibrium state is stable, implies that the equilibrium point or steady state is stable and the stability of the model (1) - (10) means, there will not be anopheles adult mosquito ip our society for malaria transmission and from the idea of Beltrami’s conditions and Diekmann condition, we observed that the Determinant of the Jacobian matrix is greater than zero {Det(J) > 0}, Trace of the Jacobian matrix is less than zero {Tr(j) < 0} and R0 < 1 which implies that the model disease free equilibrium state is stable. Hence the number of larva that transform to pupa ♦ is almost zero and the number of pupa that develop to adult is minimal and number of adult that escape to vector stage are inconsequential and microscopic and that means the life-cycle could be broken at the larva, pupa, and adult stages with the introduction of natural predators, with the natural implication there will not be anopheles adult mosquito for malaria transmission and we also use maple for symbolical and numerical solution and presented the results graphically.

Description

Keywords

nopheles; Copepod; Tadpole; Purple martins; Malaria

Citation

Umar, M.A. et al. (2023)Modelling the Effects of Three Natural Predators on the Aquactic and Adult Stages of Anopheles Mosquitoes in the Control of Malaria Transmission

Collections